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« FDX Gapping Down on Earnings | Main | Country P/E Ratios: US, UK, France, Japan, India, Russia, Brazil »

2007 Financial Blogger Outlook Part III: The Economy, Oil, Gold, Currencies and Housing

For Part 3 of our 2007 Financial Blogger Outlook, we asked participants for their thoughts on various economic topics.  Sixty-two percent of those surveyed believe that there will NOT be a recession in the US in 2007.  The average estimate for the price of oil at year-end 2007 is $67 -- $4 higher than the current price. 

Bloggers are considerably more bearish on the housing market and the US dollar than they are bullish.  However, the outlook for US Treasuries in 2007 is positive, which would be a big plus for the housing market.  Please see the charts and tables below for more details on the blogger outlook.  And be sure to check out the blogs of our participants by clicking on their links at the bottom of the page.  We'll have one more post with a couple other off-hand topics to finish off our survey later in the week.

Piecharts_1 

07oil

07outlookecon

2007 Financial Blogger Outlook Participants:

24/7 Wall Street  Ant & Sons  Bill a.k.a. nodoodahs  Carl Futia  Confused Capitalist  Fly on the Wall  Daily Dose of Optimism  Daily Options Report  Elliot Wave Lives On  Fallond Stock Picks  Global Economic Trend Analysis  Hedgefolios  In The Money  Information Arbitrage  Daily Blog Watch  Knight Trader  ChrisPerruna.com  Millionaire Now  Peridot Capitalist  Quant Investor  Random Roger's Big Picture  SelfInvestors  Shark Report  Stock Advisors  Tale of the Tape  Trader Tim  Wall St. Warrior  WindRiver Blog  Yaser Anwar 

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Comments

Once a downtrend is in place for housing, do falling interest rates turn around the trend? I don't believe that was the case in the early nineties, certainly for Orange County California. The trend didn't turn around until mortgage debt-to-median income ratio fell to below the historic average.


If Fed cuts rates just twice we could see a re-financing boom which always bodes well for US treasuries, let's see if this happens again.

So, let me get this straight:

You poll the insane people from "Elliot Wave" and not the Fly?

Great idea for a blog. Keep it up!! :-)

mak

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Just as damaging to credit card late payments is the effect these failures to pay have on credit ratings. I'm glad I found just the credit card consolidation plan I needed! I was amazed at the good credit card consolidation information over at ArticleMonarch.com.

Great article. Love the use of graphs.

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Blogger Sentiment

  • The Ticker Sense Blogger Sentiment Poll is a survey of the web's most prominent investment bloggers, asking "What is your outlook on the S&P 500 for the next 30 days?" Conducted on a weekly basis, the poll is sent to participants each Thursday, and the results are released on Ticker Sense each Monday. The goal of this poll is to gain a consensus view on the market from the top investment bloggers -- a community that continues to grow as a valued source of investment insight. © Copyright 2009 Ticker Sense Blogger Sentiment Poll

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