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« May 2009 | Main | July 2009 »
Bloggers are mostly neutral in what is expected to be a quiet week.
Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants:
24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (-) Elliot Wave Lives On (-) Fallond Stock Picks (-) In the Money MaoXian Millionaire Now! (N) Navivest (N) Peridot Capitalist (N) The Shark Report (N) Smart Money Tracker (-) StockAdvisors.com Traders Talk (N) Wall Street Folly Wishing Wealth (+)
The last trade for the front month crude contract is today, and strange price fluctuations have often been cited as the contract nears closing. Today oil is down over $2, in the past this kind of change might have been explained by traders going long and being forced out of their trade so as to avoid taking delivery of the oil. If this was the case, we would expect to see the July future as an outlier among the more forward contracts. Today this is not the case, the table below shows that oil is down across the board.
Most bloggers are neutral going into the week.
Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants:
24/7 Wall St (N) Ahead of the Ticker (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (N) Elliot Wave Lives On (-) Fallond Stock Picks (-) In the Money Knight Trader (N) Learning Curve (-) MaoXian Millionaire Now! (N) Navivest (-) Peridot Capitalist (-) The Shark Report (N) Smart Money Tracker (-) StockAdvisors.com Traders Talk (-) Wall Street Folly
There are more bears than bulls in this week's poll.
Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants:
24/7 Wall St (-) Ahead of the Ticker (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave Lives On (-) Fallond Stock Picks (-) In the Money Knight Trader (-) Learning Curve (-) MaoXian Millionaire Now! (N) Navivest (+) Peridot Capitalist (-) The Shark Report (N) Smart Money Tracker (-) StockAdvisors.com Traders Talk (N) Wall Street Folly WishingWealth (+)
Since September of 2008 we have seen 2009's YoY earnings expectations for the S&P 500 steadily decline. You may recall that for the first half of 2008 many analysts were expecting an earnings recovery, and thus forecasting 20 - 25% growth in '09. The severity of the crisis was obviously not understood, and as events unfolded earnings and economic estimates were likewise adjusted resulting in a 38.1% decline between 9/26/08 and 11/20/08.
Laszlo Birinyi will appear on CNBC Thursday, June 11th between 9:30 and 10:00 to discuss his outlook for the US equity market.
Birinyi Associates recently released a brand new kind of database covering fundamentals and trading parameters for 1,500 US stocks. As a special promotion here on Ticker Sense we are making this tool available to our readers for a limited time. The new Birinyi Stock Ratings was released to subscribers last week, and will be available to both newsletter and mini institutional customers at no additional charge.
The new system uses fundamental estimates and technical parameters to analyze each stock. The fundamental score is based on earnings expectations for the quarter and the year, as well as revisions of these estimates within the last three months. A company expected to post quarterly and annual earnings growth and has also had upwards earnings revisions will receive the highest score. The technical score is based on a combination of short and long-term trend analysis. A stock in a stronger uptrend will receive a higher technical score; likewise those stocks in downtrends will receive lower technical scores. The technical score is best used in conjunction with overbought / oversold characteristics. Stocks with high technical scores that are oversold present buying opportunities, while overbought stocks with low technical scores present selling opportunities.
In addition to the new scoring system, the Stock Ratings Database dissects the universe on the index, sector and finally group levels. Users can easily drill into a sector and industry group and compare the characteristics of similar members; this is ideal for market/sector neutral and best in breed strategies.
Additionally the system is interactive, allowing users to enter a
specific ticker and return the details for that issue. Once a ticker is entered we have also added
the ability to run a custom report highlighting that stock with its peers.
Birinyi Stock Ratings Database
Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants:
24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) CrossingWallStreet.com Daily Dose of Optimism (-) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave Lives On (-) Fallond Stock Picks (-) In the Money Information Arbitrage (N) Learning Curve (-) MaoXian Millionaire Now! (N) Navivest (+) Peridot Capitalist (-) The Shark Report (-) Smart Money Tracker (-) StockAdvisors.com Traders Talk (-) Wall Street Folly WishingWealth (+)
Bloggers are neutral going into the new month.
Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants:
24/7 Wall St (N) Ahead of the Ticker (N) Carl Futia (+) Daily Dose of Optimism (-) Dash of Insight (N) Elliot Wave Lives On (-) Fallond Stock Picks (-) In the Money Information Arbitrage (N) Knight Trader (N) Learning Curve (-) MaoXian Millionaire Now! (N) Navivest (+) Peridot Capitalist (N) The Shark Report (-) Smart Money Tracker (-) Traders Talk (N) Wall Street Folly WishingWealth
The Ticker Sense Blogger Sentiment Poll is a survey of the web's most prominent investment bloggers, asking "What is your outlook on the S&P 500 for the next 30 days?" Conducted on a weekly basis, the poll is sent to participants each Thursday, and the results are released on Ticker Sense each Monday. The goal of this poll is to gain a consensus view on the market from the top investment bloggers -- a community that continues to grow as a valued source of investment insight. © Copyright 2012 Ticker Sense Blogger Sentiment Poll
Ticker Sense was founded and developed by analysts at Birinyi Associates. Birinyi Associates continues to own and manage all content.
