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« Paul Hickey on Bloomberg TV Tomorrow at 12:15 PM ET | Main | Most Extended S&P 500 Stocks and Winning and Losing Streaks »


Very interesting commentary and data. If you, however, include only the data where there was no recession (1980, 1984, 1987, 1989, and 1995) the average return looks dramatically different -- (1.36%). Obviously the difference is huge when there's no recession...the one outlier was 1987 (which was the only big negative number) and it had its own "special situation".

The BIGGER question therefore is ...will we have a recession?

Another question to ask is, is this the last hike? If they pause through elections and hike again in Dec, then what?

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