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We recently received a request to look into the length of time it has been since we had a one-day 2% decline on the S&P 500. It has now been 928 days since the S&P 500 had a one-day 2% decline. The last one was on May 19, 2003 when the Index fell 2.49% on the day. This is the longest streak of its kind for as far back as we can download daily prices. Not that we're superstitious, but knock on wood.
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Your chart for the S&P 500 (2% declines) is slightly misleading. To the unaided eye, each peak appears to be on a triangle, which would be wrong. One can see, by maintaining 90 degree angles, that the peaks are followed by instantaneous drops to zero. So, to plot values for a vertical line is wrong-there are NO values to plot. Unfortunately, almost all software "connects the dots." I believe that I had one application which allowed the choice to connect, or not connect.
Posted by: C. E. Miller, MIT Retired | January 27, 2007 at 07:51 PM
To the unaided eye, each peak appears to be on a triangle, which would be wrong.
Retired? Get some reading glasses. :-)
Posted by: | January 28, 2007 at 01:58 AM
What about 2% moves to upside?
Posted by: Jim Brophy | January 29, 2007 at 11:48 AM
This is an older post but you should have seen 2008. It was a rough patch for everyone. Having said that, I just found your typepad blog and I must say that it's outstanding. You guys have a lot of great financial information. Since I didn't know about it 2 hours ago, it's a real hidden gem for me.
Thanks,
Jen!
Posted by: USA futures | August 21, 2011 at 06:18 PM