Sector Performance Leading Up to the Start of Bear Markets

As the major equity indices have made significant declines in recent weeks, some have speculated that we are in the early stages of a bear market. Historical precedent however, would refute that view.  We recently released this report to subscribers of our Mini Institutional service which highlights the performance of the ten major sectors leading up to the start of bear markets.  The table below provides the average 1, 3 and 6 month performance of each sector prior to the start of all bear markets of the S&P 500 going back to 1962.  Based on page two of our report, the period which compares closest to the current market is the months leading up to the 1966 bear market, while the months prior to the 1987 bear market have the least resemblance to today.

Comments

[sean]

I find averages misleading.

What is the range of returns?

What is the probability of beating T-bills during each of these scenarios?

[enrico]

> the period which compares closest to the current market is the months leading up to the 1966 bear market <

Well isnt it funny that the two charts are very similar too?

[charts are from one week ago and have been fitted a bit in the time scale so that they look better...]

http://www.tradingthecharts.com/phpBB/viewtopic.php?p=33890#33890

[enrico]

wrong link sorry.

http://tinyurl.com/2cpagn

[nextw71]

[url=http://nextworld.bxhost.com/n/]No secret that female legs are prettier in pantyhose and stockings[/url]

Imagine right here by your side there is a girl wearing just stockings sitting and waiting till you do with her whatever you want. We provide you with such opportunity since our seem so real you wouldn't even believe
it.

[url]http://nextworld.bxhost.com/n/[/url]

[thebigvip]

Hi!
My thanks to creators and moderators of this site. This site is the best one I think. I visit it as it’s possible everyday. I really enjoy to talk to posters and most of them became my pen-friends.
So I wish you to gain new posters and not to lose current ones. You are the great team!
_______
Sincerely, [url=http://www.thebigvip.org]Jon Smitt[/url]

[davidoffblame]

RapidShare is probably one of the best web hosters in the world. Rapidshare actually originated from rapidshare.de and switched over to rapidshare.com some time ago to give the web host a world wide recognized meaning. Still it lacks some basics features one of which is not providing the ability to search the hosted files. [b]Search Engines To Hunt Rapidshare Files[/b] Rapidshare is a free for all file hosting where everyone can upload a file of

[Rapidshare Premium Accounts]

Good informative post mate

[Rapidshare Premium Account]

Hey good post! thnx :)