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« S&P 500: Down For the Year | Main | Spike in the VIX Index »


The market has come a long way, so it may be ready for a test or worse, but there's some indication that we had enough pessimism for a good low.'s message board polls had a lot of confident Bearishness, and much more importantly HAS had more for some time. That's usually a set up for a turn.

Note, these guys tend to be right, near term, and especially (and rather impressively) at important turns, but when they get leaning too far, for too long, they're like every other trading demographic.

Here's a chart of the 5-day SMA of Fully Long Bulls/Fully Short Bears.

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